Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.159173 0.186109 0.215707 0.250574 0.290451 0.334561 0.386969
2025-12-21 0.110876 0.146268 0.189433 0.245613 0.316424 0.402303 0.513886
2025-12-28 0.087839 0.126822 0.178177 0.250035 0.347102 0.472662 0.646176
2026-01-04 0.074058 0.115226 0.173001 0.258722 0.381098 0.547646 0.789120
2026-01-11 0.063119 0.104965 0.167066 0.264041 0.409247 0.615619 0.927232
2026-01-18 0.054011 0.095504 0.160313 0.266316 0.431977 0.676665 1.059590
2026-01-25 0.046375 0.086874 0.153225 0.266501 0.450603 0.732212 1.187371
2026-02-01 0.039574 0.078374 0.144916 0.263234 0.462752 0.778075 1.303207
2026-02-08 0.033826 0.070690 0.136747 0.258840 0.472014 0.819387 1.414246
2026-02-15 0.028301 0.062424 0.126309 0.248998 0.470661 0.842812 1.497557
2026-02-22 0.026629 0.061379 0.128786 0.262288 0.510159 0.936279 1.702136
2026-03-01 0.022821 0.055305 0.120900 0.255393 0.512831 0.967192 1.803284
2026-03-08 0.019396 0.049513 0.112903 0.247563 0.513426 0.995282 1.903222
2026-03-15 0.016666 0.044782 0.106408 0.241911 0.517552 1.030016 2.017707
2026-03-22 0.015142 0.042585 0.104928 0.246209 0.541184 1.101830 2.203656
2026-03-29 0.014113 0.041402 0.105480 0.254771 0.573954 1.192878 2.430855
2026-04-05 0.012958 0.039685 0.104572 0.260016 0.600329 1.273497 2.643687
2026-04-12 0.011746 0.037577 0.102447 0.262259 0.620531 1.343405 2.840458
2026-04-19 0.010560 0.035305 0.099590 0.262442 0.636211 1.405251 3.025251
2026-04-26 0.009342 0.032691 0.095501 0.259219 0.644070 1.451740 3.182568
2026-05-03 0.008224 0.030136 0.091179 0.254886 0.648945 1.492266 3.330275
2026-05-10 0.007026 0.027060 0.085004 0.245180 0.640549 1.504289 3.420487
2026-05-17 0.006836 0.027224 0.087699 0.258287 0.686436 1.634625 3.762911